{"id":2189,"date":"2011-09-14T12:12:56","date_gmt":"2011-09-14T04:12:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/?p=2189"},"modified":"2011-09-14T13:07:47","modified_gmt":"2011-09-14T05:07:47","slug":"%e7%b6%ad%e6%96%8c%e8%a7%a3%e5%af%86","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/?p=2189","title":{"rendered":"\u7dad\u658c\u89e3\u5bc6"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u500b\u661f\u671f\u6700\u7d05\u7684\u9664\u4e86\u8cfd\u5fb7\u514b\u5df4\u840a\uff0c\u61c9\u8a72\u5c31\u662f\u7dad\u57fa\u89e3\u5bc6\u5427\u3002\u6211\u7a0d\u5fae\u7784\u4e86\u4e00\u4e0b<a href=\"http:\/\/wikileaks.org\/origin\/273_0.html\" target=_blank>AIT\u88ab\u7206\u6599\u7684\u90e8\u5206<\/a>\uff0c\u767c\u73fe\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u90fd\u662fUNCLASSIFIED\u6216\u662fCONFIDENTIAL\u7684\u7b49\u7d1a\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u5f88\u5c11\u6578\u6587\u4ef6\u662fSECRET\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u5118\u7ba1\u6709\u4e9b\u653f\u6cbb\u4eba\u7269\u7684\u771f\u9762\u76ee\uff08\u6216\u5047\u9762\u76ee\uff0c\u770b\u4f60\u6301\u4f55\u7a2e\u89d2\u5ea6\uff09\u88ab\u66dd\u4e86\u5149\uff0c\u9802\u591a\u589e\u6dfb\u4e86\u96fb\u8996\u8ac7\u8a71\u7bc0\u76ee\u7684\u7d20\u6750\u548c\u5df7\u8b70\u8857\u8ac7\u7684\u8a71\u984c\u800c\u5df2\u3002\u524d\u4e00\u9663\u5b50\u5beb\u66f8\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u8981\u7528\u5230\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u7684\u89e3\u5bc6\u6587\u4ef6\uff08\u6211\u8981\u5f37\u8abf\uff0c\u6211\u770b\u7684\u90fd\u662f\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u4f9d\u6cd5\u89e3\u5bc6\u7684\u6a94\u6848\uff09\uff0c\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u89c0\u5bdf\u53f0\u7063\u653f\u60c5\u7684\u5831\u544a\u5167\u5bb9\u3002\u4ee521\u4e16\u7d00\u7684\u773c\u5149\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u5167\u5bb9\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0d\u5177\u7206\u6599\u7684\u50f9\u503c\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u5982\u679c\u7576\u6642\u9019\u4e9b\u6587\u4ef6\u5728\u53f0\u7063\u88ab\u63ed\u9732\uff0c\u76f8\u4fe1\u5c0d\u793e\u6703\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u6703\u9060\u5927\u65bc\u9019\u6b21\u7dad\u57fa\u89e3\u5bc6\u6240\u900f\u9732\u7684\u8a0a\u606f\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u56e0\u70ba\u7576\u6642\u6c92\u6709\u53cd\u5c0d\u9ee8\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5167\u5bb9\u591a\u534a\u8ddf\u57f7\u653f\u9ee8\u6709\u95dc\u3002\u6211\u7279\u5225\u9078\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u5177\u6709\u722d\u8b70\u6027\uff08\u4ee51960\u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u6a19\u6e96\uff09\u7684\u5167\u5bb9\u5728\u6b64\u5206\u4eab\uff0c\u4e5f\u63d0\u4f9b\u5168\u6587\u7684\u9023\u63a5\u8b93\u6709\u8208\u8da3\u6df1\u5165\u7684\u670b\u53cb\u904b\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c\u4e00\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\u662f\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u57281961\u5e746\u6708\u5b8c\u6210\u7684<a href=\"http:\/\/www.foia.cia.gov\/docs\/DOC_0000014177\/DOC_0000014177.pdf\" target=_blank><i>Prospects for the Government of the Republic of China<\/i><\/a>\uff08<strong>\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u524d\u666f<\/strong>\uff09\u3002\u5728\u8ac7\u5230\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\u7684\u5167\u90e8\u653f\u6cbb\u554f\u984c\uff08Domestic Problems &#8211; Political\uff09\u6642\uff0c\u9019\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\u5e7e\u4e4e\u5168\u90e8\u5728\u8b1b\u7701\u7c4d\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u4e8b\uff0c\u4e5f\u63d0\u5230\u300a\u81ea\u7531\u4e2d\u570b\u300b\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/nie_1.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/nie_2.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/nie_3.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\u53e6\u5916\u8ac7\u5230\u5982\u679c\u8523\u4ecb\u77f3\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7684\u63a5\u73ed\u554f\u984c\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u56e0\u70ba\u8523\u4ecb\u77f3\u5be6\u969b\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7684\u6642\u9593\u665a\u4e86\u5341\u591a\u5e74\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u6709\u4e9b\u5224\u65b7\u7121\u6cd5\u9a57\u8b49\uff1a<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/nie_4.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/nie_5.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p><i>Prospects for the Government of the Republic of China<\/i>\u7684<a href=\"http:\/\/www.foia.cia.gov\/docs\/DOC_0000014178\/DOC_0000014178.pdf\" target=_blank>1964\u5e74\u7248<\/a>\u4e5f\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u7cbe\u5f69\u5167\u5bb9\uff08\u4ecd\u662f\u4ee5\u7576\u6642\u7684\u6a19\u6e96\u800c\u8a00\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0b\u9762\u6587\u5b57\u7684\u51fa\u8655\u662f1964\u5e741\u6708\u767c\u51fa\u7684<a href=\"http:\/\/www.foia.cia.gov\/docs\/DOC_0000864572\/DOC_0000864572.pdf\" target=_blank><i>GRC Precautions Against Possible Violence as a Result of Public Dissatisfaction over the Chou Hung-Ch&#8217;ing Case<\/i><\/a>\uff0c\u9019\u88e1\u7684Chou Hung-Ch&#8217;ing\u5c31\u662f<a href=\"http:\/\/nrch.cca.gov.tw\/ccahome\/website\/site20\/contents\/008\/cca220003-li-wpkbhisdict001365-0434-u.xml\" target=_blank>\u5468\u9d3b\u6176\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/a>\u7684\u4e3b\u89d2\uff08\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u807d\u904e\u9019\u500b\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u6211\u771f\u7684\u5f88\u4f69\u670d\u4f60\uff01\uff09\u3002\u9019\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\u53ea\u6709CONFIDENTIAL\u7684\u6a5f\u5bc6\u7b49\u7d1a\uff0c\u6587\u4ef6\u958b\u982d\u53f3\u4e0a\u89d2\u9084\u6a19\u793a\u300cROUTINE\u300d\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5927\u6982\u8ddfAIT\u88ab\u7206\u6599\u7684\u4f8b\u884c\u653f\u60c5\u56de\u5831\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5167\u5bb9\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7576\u6642\u653f\u5e9c\u70ba\u4e86\u907f\u514d\u4e8b\u60c5\u8b8a\u5f97\u4e00\u767c\u4e0d\u53ef\u6536\u62fe\uff0c\u900f\u904e\u570b\u6c11\u9ee8\u7684\u7d44\u7e54\u505a\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u300c\u9810\u9632\u6027\u300d\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u6211\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u9019\u88e1\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u570b\u6c11\u9ee8Fourth Section\u8ddfFifth Section\u5404\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u7d44\u7e54\uff0c\u4f46\u986f\u7136\u4ed6\u5011\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u6b0a\u529b\uff0cFourth Section\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u4ee5\u547d\u4ee4\u5831\u7d19\u8abf\u6574\u5831\u5c0e\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u548c\u5167\u5bb9\uff1a<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/09\/chou.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u500b\u661f\u671f\u6700\u7d05\u7684\u9664\u4e86\u8cfd\u5fb7\u514b\u5df4\u840a\uff0c\u61c9\u8a72\u5c31\u662f\u7dad\u57fa\u89e3\u5bc6\u5427\u3002\u6211\u7a0d\u5fae\u7784\u4e86\u4e00\u4e0bAIT\u88ab\u7206\u6599\u7684\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u767c\u73fe\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u90fd\u662fUNCLASSIFIED\u6216\u662fCONFIDENTIAL\u7684\u7b49\u7d1a\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u5f88\u5c11\u6578\u6587\u4ef6\u662fSECRET\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u5118\u7ba1\u6709\u4e9b\u653f\u6cbb\u4eba\u7269\u7684\u771f\u9762\u76ee\uff08\u6216\u5047\u9762\u76ee\uff0c\u770b\u4f60\u6301\u4f55\u7a2e\u89d2\u5ea6\uff09\u88ab\u66dd\u4e86\u5149\uff0c\u9802\u591a\u589e\u6dfb\u4e86\u96fb\u8996\u8ac7\u8a71\u7bc0\u76ee\u7684\u7d20\u6750\u548c\u5df7\u8b70\u8857\u8ac7\u7684\u8a71\u984c\u800c\u5df2\u3002\u524d\u4e00\u9663\u5b50\u5beb\u66f8\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u8981\u7528\u5230\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u7684\u89e3\u5bc6\u6587\u4ef6\uff08\u6211\u8981\u5f37\u8abf\uff0c\u6211\u770b\u7684\u90fd\u662f\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u4f9d\u6cd5\u89e3\u5bc6\u7684\u6a94\u6848\uff09\uff0c\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u89c0\u5bdf\u53f0\u7063\u653f\u60c5\u7684\u5831\u544a\u5167\u5bb9\u3002\u4ee521\u4e16\u7d00\u7684\u773c\u5149\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u5167\u5bb9\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0d\u5177\u7206\u6599\u7684\u50f9\u503c\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u5982\u679c\u7576\u6642\u9019\u4e9b\u6587\u4ef6\u5728\u53f0\u7063\u88ab\u63ed\u9732\uff0c\u76f8\u4fe1\u5c0d\u793e\u6703\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u6703\u9060\u5927\u65bc\u9019\u6b21\u7dad\u57fa\u89e3\u5bc6\u6240\u900f\u9732\u7684\u8a0a\u606f\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u56e0\u70ba\u7576\u6642\u6c92\u6709\u53cd\u5c0d\u9ee8\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5167\u5bb9\u591a\u534a\u8ddf\u57f7\u653f\u9ee8\u6709\u95dc\u3002\u6211\u7279\u5225\u9078\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u5177\u6709\u722d\u8b70\u6027\uff08\u4ee51960\u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u6a19\u6e96\uff09\u7684\u5167\u5bb9\u5728\u6b64\u5206\u4eab\uff0c\u4e5f\u63d0\u4f9b\u5168\u6587\u7684\u9023\u63a5\u8b93\u6709\u8208\u8da3\u6df1\u5165\u7684\u670b\u53cb\u904b\u7528\u3002 \u7b2c\u4e00\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\u662f\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u57281961\u5e746\u6708\u5b8c\u6210\u7684Prospects for the Government of the Republic of China\uff08\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u524d\u666f\uff09\u3002\u5728\u8ac7\u5230\u4e2d\u83ef\u6c11\u570b\u7684\u5167\u90e8\u653f\u6cbb\u554f\u984c\uff08Domestic Problems &#8211; Political\uff09\u6642\uff0c\u9019\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\u5e7e\u4e4e\u5168\u90e8\u5728\u8b1b\u7701\u7c4d\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u4e8b\uff0c\u4e5f\u63d0\u5230\u300a\u81ea\u7531\u4e2d\u570b\u300b\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a \u9019\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\u53e6\u5916\u8ac7\u5230\u5982\u679c\u8523\u4ecb\u77f3\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7684\u63a5\u73ed\u554f\u984c\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u56e0\u70ba\u8523\u4ecb\u77f3\u5be6\u969b\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7684\u6642\u9593\u665a\u4e86\u5341\u591a\u5e74\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u6709\u4e9b\u5224\u65b7\u7121\u6cd5\u9a57\u8b49\uff1a Prospects for the Government of the Republic of China\u76841964\u5e74\u7248\u4e5f\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u7cbe\u5f69\u5167\u5bb9\uff08\u4ecd\u662f\u4ee5\u7576\u6642\u7684\u6a19\u6e96\u800c\u8a00\uff09\u3002 \u4e0b\u9762\u6587\u5b57\u7684\u51fa\u8655\u662f1964\u5e741\u6708\u767c\u51fa\u7684GRC Precautions Against Possible Violence as a Result of&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[99,439,128,441,440,443,442,431,444],"class_list":["post-2189","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-history","tag-cia","tag-national-intelligence-estimate","tag-128","tag-441","tag-440","tag-443","tag-442","tag-431","tag-444"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2189","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2189"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2189\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2189"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2189"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/taiwanairpower.org\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2189"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}